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Saturday, August 23, 2008

Place Your Bets: College Football Week 1

The first week of college football usually features huge spreads as D-IA powerhouses take on IAA cupcakes. For everyone besides Michigan, these are essentially preseason games, with the starters taken out at halftime. These huge spreads make finding good bets a bit harder, but here are 5 that I like...



One spread that really caught my eye was Hawaii @ #5 Florida (-34 1/2). I know Florida's extremely good, Hawaii lost some key players, and the game's in Gainesville, but I just don't see anyone outscoring Hawaii by 5 touchdowns. If Florida racks up 49 points, they'll have to hold Hawaii to 14 in order to cover. Pick: Warriors +34 1/2

Another good one was #17 Virginia Tech (-9) vs. East Carolina in Charlotte (which is actually closer to Blacksburg, VA than Greenville, NC). I honestly don't know much about ECU, but they have Va Tech and West Virginia back-to-back on their schedule, so they got some balls. Still, 9 points isn't enough for them against Virginia Tech in a neutral location. Pick: Hokies -9



Michigan State @ California (-4). Michigan State isn't good enough for such a low spread against a solid Pac-10 team on the road. Pick: Golden Bears -4

#24 Alabama vs. #9 Clemson (-5 1/2) in Atlanta. This is the game I'm looking forward to seeing the most, with Illinois-Missouri a close second. Alabama is one of those SEC teams that's good enough to pull off a big upset of teams like LSU, Auburn, or Tennessee. But I don't think they're good enough to stay with these teams, and teams like Clemson, week in week out. So an upset is very possible, a close game is even more possible, but a Clemson victory by 7+ points is very likely. Pick: Tigers -5 1/2



Another good looking game is Oregon State (-3) @ Stanford. This is a very small spread, which is rare in college football. Stanford might be better than they were in 2007, and Oregon State might be worse, but the Beavers are still on top of the Cardinal. Besides, beavers chop down trees to make dams. Pick: Beavers -3



-The Commodore

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