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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Is Vegas On Crack?

It never ceases to amaze me how accurate the odds makers are in any sport really. Everytime the line looks ridiculous, I laugh and then when the game is decided within 5% of said line I thank god I didn't bet my true feelings.

Have a look at the Sweet 16 lines for Thursday and Friday's games. There are a few that are just screaming for you to jump all over them -

Purdue/UConn - (UConn -6.5)
Xavier/Pitt - (Pitt -7)
Mizzou/Memphis - (Memphis -4.5)
Nova/Duke - (Duke -2)

Arizona/Louisville - (Louisville -9)
Cuse/Oklahoma - (Oklahoma -1)
Kansas/MSU - (MSU -1.5)
Gonzaga/UNC - (UNC -8)

Now, most of these appear to be reasonable. No problems with the Pitt, Louisville, MSU or UNC lines. The two that jump right out at me as easy winners are UConn and Villanova. UConn has dismantled its two opponents as if they were playing against high school kids. I know one was a 16 but it doesn't matter, the Huskies are on a mission. AJ Price has been absolutely on fire since the Big East Tourney game and when he's shooting like that UConn is untouchable. The fact they are laying only 6.5 points is unfathomable. I'm looking at them to win by 15 or 20.

As for Nova/Duke, how can Duke even be favored here? I never pick against the Blue Devils but compare the quality of play in the first two rounds and the quality of conferences the two schools hail from. No brainer. Nova is going to win and it shouldn't even be much of a struggle.

You want easy money, double up on UConn and Nova. The Dueling Couches Guarantee says you cannot go wrong.

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